{"id":1031,"date":"2020-10-03T03:59:57","date_gmt":"2020-10-03T07:59:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/mehmetulutas.com\/?p=1031"},"modified":"2021-02-22T13:08:44","modified_gmt":"2021-02-22T18:08:44","slug":"trump-mi-yoksa-biden-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mehmetulutas.com\/index.php\/2020\/10\/03\/trump-mi-yoksa-biden-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump m\u0131 yoksa Biden m\u0131 Kazan\u0131r"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye hem tatil hem de \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma i\u00e7in geldi\u011fimden beri sevdiklerim ve dostlar\u0131m bana m\u00fctemadiyen A.B.D. Ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri ne olur, Trump m\u0131 yoksa Biden m\u0131 kazan\u0131r diye soruyorlar. Ben de bu konudaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncelerimi ve tahminlerimi sizlerle payla\u015fmak istedim.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Amerikan se\u00e7imlerine sadece 4 hafta kald\u0131. Pandeminin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 negatif ortama ve sosyal mesafe kural\u0131 sebebiyle sahaya inemeyen kampanya \u015fartlar\u0131na ra\u011fmen gayet s\u0131cak bir yar\u0131\u015f var iki aday aras\u0131nda. A\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a s\u00f6yleyeyim ki Biden \u015fu anda \u00f6nde g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Nitekim Trump\u2019\u0131n aday\u0131 oldu\u011fu Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti\u2019nin gayriresmi s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc konumundaki Amerikan Fox Kanal\u0131 bile Trump\u2019\u0131n geride oldu\u011funu ama fark\u0131n giderek kapatmakta oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Peki Biden neden \u00f6nde?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

  1. Biden sevilen ve ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 addedilen Obama\u2019n\u0131n yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131yd\u0131 ve medya taraf\u0131ndan Obama\u2019n\u0131n devam\u0131 olarak lanse ediliyor.<\/li>
  2. Covid-19 sebebiyle ya\u015fanan sa\u011fl\u0131k, ekonomi ve i\u015fsizlik krizlerinin ge\u00e7 ve yetersiz tedbir ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 iddia edilen Trump\u2019a fatura edilmesi.<\/li>
  3. \u201cTrump gitsin de kim gelirse gelsin\u201d diyen ciddi bir kesim var. Bu durum bana \u201cErdo\u011fan gitsin de kim gelirse gelsin\u201d diyenleri hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor.<\/li>
  4. Biden duyunlara ho\u015f gelen \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck\u00e7\u00fc ve bar\u0131\u015f\u00e7\u0131l vaatlerde bulunuyor.<\/li>
  5. Biden\u2019in \u00e7ocuklu\u011funda kekeme olmas\u0131 ve ilk kar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ve k\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 trafik kazas\u0131nda kaybetmesi gibi trajediler ya\u015fam\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 halkta sempati uyand\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n

    Peki Trump\u2019\u0131n neden hala bir \u015fans\u0131 var?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    1. Biden se\u00e7ilirse Amerika\u2019n\u0131n se\u00e7ilmi\u015f en ya\u015fl\u0131 (78) ba\u015fkan\u0131 olacak ve hakk\u0131nda unutkan oldu\u011fu y\u00f6n\u00fcnde iddialar var.<\/li>
    2. Trump Amerikal\u0131lar\u0131n \u00e7ok \u015fikayet\u00e7i oldu\u011fu kanunlara ayk\u0131r\u0131 g\u00f6\u00e7menlik konusunda ciddi ad\u0131mlar att\u0131.<\/li>
    3. Trump\u2019\u0131n 2020 \u00f6ncesi karnesi \u00e7ok iyiydi \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc pandemi \u00f6ncesinde ekonomi y\u0131ld\u0131zla\u015fm\u0131\u015f, borsa tavan yapm\u0131\u015f ve i\u015fsizlik \u00e7ok azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/li>
    4. E\u015fiyle beraber koronavir\u00fcs kapm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 sempati oylar\u0131n\u0131 Trump\u2019a y\u00f6nlendirebilir.<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n

      A.B.D. ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201celektoral oy\u201d ile se\u00e7iliyor. Her eyaletin belirlenmi\u015f bir elektoral oyu var. E\u011fer bir eyalette en \u00e7ok oyu Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti al\u0131rsa, fark sadece 1 oy bile olsa, b\u00fct\u00fcn elektoral oylar\u0131 onlar al\u0131yor. Amerika\u2019n\u0131n toplam 50 eyaletinin 42\u2019sinde hangi partinin kazanaca\u011f\u0131 %99 belli. Mesela bizde \u0130zmir\u2019de CHP\u2019nin ve Konya\u2019da AK Parti\u2019nin garanti kazanmas\u0131 gibi. O y\u00fczden ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imlerini kalan 8 \u201cswing (sal\u0131ncak)\u201d eyalet belirliyor \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc iki partinin bu eyaletlerde ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 oylar birbirine \u00e7ok yak\u0131n. Bu sebeple ba\u015fkan adaylar\u0131 en \u00e7ok bu sal\u0131ncak eyaletlere ehemmiyet verirler, bol bol gezi d\u00fczenlerler ve c\u00f6mert\u00e7e reklam verirler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Ge\u00e7en se\u00e7imlerde Trump bu 8 sal\u0131ncak eyaletin 8\u2019ini de alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ama son anketlere g\u00f6re Trump bu 8 eyaletten sadece 1\u2019inde \u00f6nde. Bu y\u00fczden Trump\u2019\u0131n i\u015fi imkans\u0131z de\u011fil ama olduk\u00e7a zor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye hem tatil hem de \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma i\u00e7in geldi\u011fimden beri sevdiklerim ve dostlar\u0131m bana m\u00fctemadiyen A.B.D. Ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri ne olur, Trump m\u0131 yoksa Biden m\u0131 kazan\u0131r diye soruyorlar. Ben de bu konudaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncelerimi ve tahminlerimi sizlerle payla\u015fmak istedim. Amerikan se\u00e7imlerine sadece 4 hafta kald\u0131. Pandeminin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 negatif ortama ve sosyal mesafe kural\u0131 sebebiyle sahaya inemeyen kampanya […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1032,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[243],"tags":[189,48,166,239,238,170,142,22,241,240,237],"yoast_head":"\nTrump m\u0131 yoksa Biden m\u0131 Kazan\u0131r - Mehmet Y. Uluta\u015f<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/mehmetulutas.com\/index.php\/2020\/10\/03\/trump-mi-yoksa-biden-mi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump m\u0131 yoksa Biden m\u0131 Kazan\u0131r - Mehmet Y. Uluta\u015f\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye hem tatil hem de \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma i\u00e7in geldi\u011fimden beri sevdiklerim ve dostlar\u0131m bana m\u00fctemadiyen A.B.D. Ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri ne olur, Trump m\u0131 yoksa Biden m\u0131 kazan\u0131r diye soruyorlar. Ben de bu konudaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncelerimi ve tahminlerimi sizlerle payla\u015fmak istedim. Amerikan se\u00e7imlerine sadece 4 hafta kald\u0131. 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